Serious-Chandelier
0x84a0a68d9002352345f6d13098b745766e438148
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$16.44
Total PnL
$0.44
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- DOWN
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$1.54
$0.54
- YES
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
1 shares @ 67.2¢·now 88.6¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.32
$0.32
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.28
$0.28
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.20
$0.20
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.19
$0.19
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.16
$0.16
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
5 shares @ 20.8¢·now 23.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.15
$0.15
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.13
$0.13
- YES
Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.11
$0.11
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.05
$0.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.01May 22, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$1.00May 11, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Colombia by December 31?$1.00May 11, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump approval Up or Down this week?$1.01May 9, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" at The Villages on May 1?$0.00May 9, 06:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Ballroom" at The Villages on May 1?$0.00May 9, 06:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 1.0%?$0.00May 9, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?$1.00May 7, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?$1.00May 7, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$1.03May 5, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$1.02May 5, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by June 30?$1.00May 4, 17:37 UTC
- TRADESELLPutin out as President of Russia by June 30?$0.99May 4, 17:37 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?$1.00May 4, 17:37 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$1.02May 4, 17:36 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$5.07May 4, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by June 30?$1.00May 4, 17:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?$0.88May 4, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$1.00May 4, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?$1.02May 4, 17:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $1.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 15:51 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 14:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.