Fantastic-Broom
0x84b4b42fc3bb592bc68442652af1ab2df4f7f2db
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$86.17
Total PnL
$-36.44
Realised
$-4.90
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
38 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$38.46
$18.46
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
31 shares @ 16.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$30.86
$25.86
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
10 shares @ 97.2¢·now 97.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$10.07
$0.07
- YES
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
182 shares @ 11.0¢·now 2.3¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$4.18
$-15.82
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
19 shares @ 26.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.44
$-3.56
- SOMETHING
Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 2.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.15
$-3.85
- FOKINA
Dallas Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
28 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?
28 shares @ 71.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
16 shares @ 63.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?
9 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-06?$20.29Jul 6, 12:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15.95Jul 4, 00:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-06-26?$15.15Jul 4, 00:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
20% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
8 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $12.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.