Thorough-Clearance
0x84f91491fecba321ab6d63d8ec8dccdc7411dabe
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$5.59
Total PnL
$-16.78
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
39 shares @ 7.7¢·now 14.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.59
$2.59
- YES
Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
4100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 41°F or below on January 29?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- PISTONS
Pistons vs. Pacers
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Mircea Geoană win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
585 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 39-40°F on February 14?
456 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
67 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Apple launch glasses/headset on February 19?
52 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump pardon SBF in his first 100 days?
32 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$3.00Apr 21, 07:15 UTC
- REWARD$1.54Apr 3, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$2.83Apr 2, 11:15 UTC
- REWARD$0.22Apr 2, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.00Dec 20, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$4.10Dec 20, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Dec 20, 20:59 UTC
- REDEEMPump.fun airdrop in Q1 2025?$1.39Dec 20, 20:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump increase tariffs on China before May?$1.89Dec 20, 20:57 UTC
- REDEEMTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$5.00Dec 20, 20:57 UTC
- REDEEMDelhi Capitals vs. Gujarat Titans$9.76Dec 20, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYDelhi Capitals vs. Gujarat Titans$5.66May 11, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIllinois State vs. Presbyterian College$3.21Mar 22, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by March 31?$2.00Feb 25, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon SBF in his first 100 days?$1.00Feb 25, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenSea airdrop before April?$1.00Feb 17, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple launch glasses/headset on February 19?$1.00Feb 17, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 39-40°F on February 14?$1.00Feb 14, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$3.00Feb 12, 17:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bill Gates be named in Epstein files?$1.55Feb 12, 11:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $2.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 20, 12:26 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 21, 07:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.