Delicious-Reorganization
0x851281eee06e684ca9a237030fcef0c26c63a3d2
Wallet digest
Activity score
98/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$83.1K
Total PnL
$11.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
113074 shares @ 60.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$83.1K
$15.2K
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2500 on July 4?
5000 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2025$0.00
$-3.5K
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?
883 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.55
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $85k in April?
100 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$2.5KJul 21, 06:41 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.88Jul 21, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$8.24Jul 20, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$2.1KJul 20, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$155.71Jul 20, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$0.01Jul 20, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$1.08Jul 20, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$56.56Jul 20, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$0.21Jul 20, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$6.49Jul 20, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$7.72Jul 20, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$4.97Jul 20, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$5.25Jul 20, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$5.04Jul 20, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$0.81Jul 20, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$0.10Jul 20, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$0.03Jul 20, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$0.07Jul 20, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$0.05Jul 20, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$1.0KJul 20, 10:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $195.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 16, 23:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 06:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.