Fixed-Downstairs
0x8512dc2fa72c2759e689592af73f0e5518d13526
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$235.64
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
3543 shares @ 6.5¢·now 6.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$235.64
$5.80
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
16213 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-260.46
- NO
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
5167 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-50.99
- YES
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
1143 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-43.00
- YES
Will All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
729 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-255.40
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 21, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
650 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 21, 2025$0.00
$-75.00
- NO
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
578 shares @ 21.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-125.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 21, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
479 shares @ 15.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 21, 2025$0.00
$-74.24
- YES
Will Trump talk to Jerome Powell in December?
448 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - December 21, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
431 shares @ 33.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 21, 2025$0.00
$-145.11
Recent activity
- TRADESELLAI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?$10.99Mar 14, 11:07 UTC
- TRADESELLAI bubble burst in 2026?$67.25Mar 14, 11:07 UTC
- TRADESELLLecornu out as French PM by June 30, 2026?$7.15Mar 1, 10:19 UTC
- TRADESELLLecornu out as French PM by June 30, 2026?$9.15Mar 1, 10:15 UTC
- TRADESELLElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$330.86Mar 1, 09:35 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$256.39Mar 1, 02:00 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?$344.83Mar 1, 02:00 UTC
- TRADESELLAI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?$0.76Feb 28, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.07Jan 30, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.50Jan 30, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.68Jan 30, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.80Jan 30, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.56Jan 30, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.27Jan 30, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.56Jan 30, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.22Jan 30, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.28Jan 30, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.06Jan 30, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.11Jan 30, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.23Jan 30, 18:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $14.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 30, 00:48 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 14, 11:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".