Awkward-Compassionate
0x851ec91076b843ed851c1a820dfa2377a390a810
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$6.13
Total PnL
$-27.85
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
6 shares @ 95.1¢·now 95.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.13
$0.04
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on February 27?
1096 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.19
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on February 26?
1084 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.17
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 25?
1080 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-6.48
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 16?
1078 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.23
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 3?
1074 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.15
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,800 on March 23?
1069 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.14
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 23?
1067 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-3.20
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 10?
1059 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.12
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 2?
1057 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.11
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.10Jun 4, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on May 28?$2.10May 28, 05:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 19?$1.1KMay 19, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 19?$1.1KMay 19, 05:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1,900 on May 18?$1.1KMay 18, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1,900 on May 18?$1.1KMay 18, 04:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on May 17?$1.1KMay 17, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on May 17?$1.1KMay 17, 05:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 16?$1.1KMay 16, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 16?$1.1KMay 16, 04:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 15?$1.1KMay 16, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 15?$1.1KMay 15, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $100 on May 10?$2.12May 10, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 3?$2.15May 3, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUY10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$6.09May 3, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 23?$3.20Apr 23, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 16?$3.23Apr 16, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 2?$2.11Apr 2, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1,800 on March 23?$2.14Mar 23, 04:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,500 on March 16?$1.1KMar 17, 03:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $634.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 25, 04:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 00:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.