Whispered-Cooking
0x852112a82b6d26cb62b4bed1f7be6164eb46d9a7
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$220.09
Total PnL
$-70.73
Realised
$7.96
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
44 shares @ 97.4¢·now 97.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$42.83
$-0.02
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
42 shares @ 96.9¢·now 96.7¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$40.61
$-0.08
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?
38 shares @ 97.9¢·now 97.7¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$37.11
$-0.10
- NO
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
34 shares @ 97.8¢·now 97.9¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$32.87
$0.03
- NO
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
30 shares @ 97.8¢·now 97.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$29.32
$-0.01
- NO
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
20 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$19.79
$-0.01
- NO
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?
10 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$9.85
$0.04
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
400 shares @ 2.2¢·now 1.1¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$4.40
$-4.40
- YES
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
100 shares @ 4.2¢·now 3.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.30
$-0.90
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
2700 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-38.48
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.41Aug 21, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?$17.62Aug 21, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?$9.79Aug 21, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?$9.79Aug 21, 11:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?$41.76Aug 21, 02:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?$1.00Aug 21, 02:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 21, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?$40.70Aug 20, 13:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 20, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 19, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.20Aug 18, 21:56 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?$33.50Aug 18, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$29.37Aug 18, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?$18.23Aug 16, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?$24.00Aug 16, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin by 2027?$23.89Aug 15, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin by 2027?$18.96Aug 15, 08:54 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026?$46.00Aug 13, 06:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$28.80Aug 13, 02:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?$70.30Aug 12, 17:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $24.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 06:23 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 21, 17:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.