Our-Ton
0x8528cb0933a03df033dde532eb3965b2533ed446
Quality score
63/100
Open positions
49
Open notional
$858.74
Total PnL
$-6.3K
Realised
$-126.47
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- YES
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?
1000 shares @ 65.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$594.99
$-55.00
- YES
Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 43.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$215.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Exam?
750 shares @ 18.3¢·now 6.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$48.75
$-88.73
- YES
GPT-5 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
4581 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-695.95
- YES
Will GPT-5 be released on August 14?
3659 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2025$0.00
$-59.97
- YES
Will GPT-5 be released on August 12?
3637 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2025$0.00
$-59.93
- YES
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?
2594 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-227.77
- YES
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
2239 shares @ 72.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.6K
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
1539 shares @ 42.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-650.00
- YES
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
1171 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill any OpenAI GPT model score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Exam?$35.561d ago
- TRADEBUYWill any OpenAI GPT model score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Exam?$0.181d ago
- REWARD$0.2313d ago
- TRADEBUYOpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?$163.8314d ago
- REWARD$1.1514d ago
- REWARD$0.4314d ago
- TRADEBUYOpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?$38.8614d ago
- REWARD$1.2115d ago
- REWARD$0.4515d ago
- TRADEBUYOpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?$5.5715d ago
- TRADEBUYOpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?$0.0415d ago
- TRADEBUYOpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?$328.8815d ago
- TRADEBUYOpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?$18.6516d ago
- TRADEBUYOpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?$92.8616d ago
- TRADEBUYOpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?$1.3016d ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$206.3716d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$10.0016d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$100.0016d ago
- TRADEBUYWill any OpenAI GPT model score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Exam?$1.7624d ago
- REDEEMMap Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5)$277.7824d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $76.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 51d ago
- Last active
- 1d ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.