0x8536363a0fc06caa6ab586af5b6f7cb377a63da3
0x8536363a0fc06caa6ab586af5b6f7cb377a63da3
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$289.81
Total PnL
$-17.89
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$193.90
$93.90
- NO
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?
102 shares @ 68.3¢·now 70.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$71.74
$1.74
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 3.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.10
$-93.90
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
100 shares @ 13.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.50
$-7.50
- YES
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?
74 shares @ 16.8¢·now 6.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.83
$-7.67
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
40 shares @ 9.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.42
$-0.20
- YES
Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?
104 shares @ 5.0¢·now 1.7¢·exp May 18, 2026$1.77
$-3.43
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
42 shares @ 5.7¢·now 3.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.63
$-0.75
- YES
Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?
184 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.92
$-0.08
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02May 16, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$2.09May 16, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?$1.05May 15, 23:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?$221.42May 15, 20:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?$18.09May 15, 18:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?$33.34May 15, 18:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?$0.93May 15, 18:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?$16.40May 15, 16:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?$1.18May 15, 16:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?$4.21May 15, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?$92.99May 15, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?$5.47May 15, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?$107.28May 15, 09:03 UTC
- REDEEMEpstein suicide note released by May 8?$0.00May 15, 09:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 15, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?$85.42May 14, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?$31.14May 14, 16:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?$20.70May 14, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYEpstein suicide note released by May 31?$3.00May 13, 15:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $24.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 11:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".