Thoughtful-Impostor
0x853b1f4c391a9f55644ec25785b095a64522475b
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$474.96
Total PnL
$-229.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
436 shares @ 14.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$254.89
$193.89
- NATUS VINCERE
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs
870 shares @ 23.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$195.65
$-4.35
- YES
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
391 shares @ 6.4¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$24.41
$-0.59
- YES
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?
7449 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
5202 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-142.00
- NATUS VINCERE
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs
2623 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-79.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
2364 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-55.00
- YES
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
1000 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-42.00
- BC.GAME ESPORTS
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A
833 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs$204.62May 14, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Vitality vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A$51.41May 11, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$25.70May 11, 07:30 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$513.47May 8, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$200.00Apr 10, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$42.00Apr 8, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$55.00Apr 8, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs$29.00Mar 29, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs$50.00Mar 29, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$61.00Mar 17, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?$50.00Mar 17, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$105.00Mar 10, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$37.00Jan 25, 16:17 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$36.80Jan 24, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$44.00Jan 21, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$42.00Jan 3, 20:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $96.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 3, 20:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 13:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".