Skeletal-Expansionism
0x8578cb4655efc2ed329314e48cef877cd5e4cfa0
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$16.97
Total PnL
$-0.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in New Brunswick in the next Canadian Election?
7 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$6.63
$0.33
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?
7 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$6.56
$0.66
- YES
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
1 shares @ 97.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$1.34
$0.04
- NO
Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$1.24
$0.01
- NO
Fulham wins the Premier League?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$1.20
$0.00
- NO
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?
1 shares @ 92.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?$5.90May 19, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Conservative Party win the most seats in New Brunswick in the next Canadian Election?$6.30Apr 22, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?$1.23Mar 16, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$1.30Mar 16, 12:20 UTC
- REDEEMWest Ham United wins the Premier League?$1.20Mar 16, 12:14 UTC
- REDEEMLeicester City wins the Premier League?$1.21Mar 16, 12:14 UTC
- REDEEMBrentford wins the Premier League?$1.30Mar 16, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?$1.30Feb 14, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMGlobal heat increase between 1.25°C and 1.27°C for 2024?$1.20Feb 14, 03:30 UTC
- REDEEMSouthampton wins the Premier League?$1.21Feb 14, 03:30 UTC
- REDEEMGlobal heat increase greater than 1.30°C for 2024?$1.31Feb 14, 03:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Dolphins win the AFC Championship?$1.31Feb 14, 03:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris be inaugurated?$1.32Feb 14, 03:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Notre Dame win the 2025 College Football Playoff?$1.34Feb 14, 03:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$1.48Feb 14, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYGlobal heat increase between 1.25°C and 1.27°C for 2024?$1.20Jan 5, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYGlobal heat increase greater than 1.30°C for 2024?$1.30Jan 5, 06:59 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. Presidential election decided by ≤100k votes?$1.10Jan 5, 06:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Harris win Colorado by 8+ points?$1.10Jan 5, 06:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump get 76-78m votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?$1.11Jan 5, 06:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $762.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 14, 11:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 17:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".