Fair-Emergency
0x858d57f8649a94cafd18616ded9d4af59c654f10
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$384.03
Total PnL
$4.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
204 shares @ 90.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$204.25
$20.22
- NO
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?
180 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$179.78
$19.78
- YES
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
33 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-27.00
- YES
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
17 shares @ 36.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-25?
4 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$184.03Dec 11, 10:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Okta (OKTA) beat quarterly earnings?$5.32Dec 11, 10:32 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: November$10.74Dec 11, 10:32 UTC
- REDEEMStable FDV above $6B one day after launch?$110.29Dec 11, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: November$10.00Nov 29, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$6.00Nov 29, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Okta (OKTA) beat quarterly earnings?$5.00Nov 29, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYStable FDV above $6B one day after launch?$104.00Nov 29, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?$160.00Nov 29, 14:04 UTC
- REDEEMMonad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$342.68Nov 29, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYMonad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$308.02Nov 1, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$27.00Nov 1, 11:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aston Villa win on 2025-10-26?$0.00Nov 1, 09:20 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: T1 vs Movistar KOI (BO3)$13.48Oct 30, 14:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-10-25?$21.51Oct 30, 14:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal win on 2025-10-26?$28.57Oct 30, 14:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester United win on 2025-10-25?$41.67Oct 30, 14:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,800 on October 26?$104.17Oct 30, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United win on 2025-10-25?$20.00Oct 25, 13:44 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: T1 vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner$0.00Oct 25, 13:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $62.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 25, 10:06 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 11, 10:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.