Twin-Cholesterol
0x85936f5e0d0d5283b078467da8a73a0017504668
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$-386.36
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
6642 shares @ 33.1¢·now 13.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$863.42
$-1.3K
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
1786 shares @ 28.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$294.64
$-205.36
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
132 shares @ 37.8¢·now 45.5¢·exp May 29, 2026$60.23
$10.23
- YES
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.50
$-0.50
- YES
Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026?
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.89
$-1.11
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
83 shares @ 12.0¢·now 2.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.96
$-8.04
- NO
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
155 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.08
$-9.92
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
69 shares @ 22.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-15.49
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
62 shares @ 16.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.33
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
23 shares @ 21.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-4.84
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$35.42Jun 12, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$50.00Jun 11, 20:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?$4.78Jun 11, 20:22 UTC
- TRADESELLSaudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by June 30?$4.18Jun 11, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$50.00Jun 11, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$10.00Jun 11, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?$10.00Jun 10, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?$10.00Jun 10, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSaudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by June 30?$5.00Jun 10, 20:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$6.96Jun 8, 10:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$6.01Jun 8, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$5.08Jun 8, 09:58 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$0.51Jun 8, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$5.12Jun 8, 09:58 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$5.44Jun 8, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$5.06Jun 8, 09:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$0.42Jun 8, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$5.24Jun 8, 09:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$0.29Jun 8, 09:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$2.21Jun 8, 09:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $7.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 8, 09:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 21:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.