Scratchy-Loading
0x8597ca63e722d6216bfc3057591fdc67ec49daee
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$99.1K
Total PnL
$-7.7K
Realised
$4.7K
Win rate
100%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
16000 shares @ 74.7¢·now 83.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.3K
$1.3K
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
25223 shares @ 33.1¢·now 40.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.2K
$1.9K
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
11119 shares @ 77.3¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.2K
$581.13
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
10500 shares @ 81.4¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.9K
$322.58
- NO
Iran leadership change by December 31?
9047 shares @ 69.7¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.2K
$885.38
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
7407 shares @ 91.3¢·now 96.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.2K
$413.48
- NO
Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
7208 shares @ 94.6¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$6.9K
$62.31
- NO
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
5387 shares @ 57.9¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.3K
$1.2K
- NO
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
4500 shares @ 83.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$4.0K
$292.50
- NO
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
4000 shares @ 97.2¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.9K
$58.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?$1.2KJun 14, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 15?$99.11Jun 14, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 15?$11.81Jun 14, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by December 31?$5.04Jun 14, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by December 31?$36.00Jun 14, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 15?$1.2KJun 14, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 15?$16.98Jun 14, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 15?$96.84Jun 14, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 15?$375.27Jun 14, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 15?$11.22Jun 14, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 15?$337.45Jun 14, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$217.46Jun 14, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$7.05Jun 14, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$3.52Jun 14, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$124.46Jun 14, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?$111.80Jun 14, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?$318.20Jun 14, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.3KJun 14, 02:01 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.06Jun 14, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$7.2K
Trades
1
Buy share
0%
Window
Jun 8, 21:20 UTC → Jun 8, 21:15 UTC
- SELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$7.2K@87¢Jun 8, 21:15 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$7.2K
1 trades
30d volume
$7.2K
1 trades
Buy share
0%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
$7.2K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $334.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 17:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 19:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.