Offbeat-Cicada
0x85abe86aaede904d59b1b4a6f9ba8d2b4056da40
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$9.77
Total PnL
$-30.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
385 shares @ 2.6¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.77
$-0.23
- YES
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?
4401 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?
2663 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?
455 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
20 shares @ 49.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 24, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 23, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win Eurovision 2026?$5.25May 16, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$10.25May 16, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$10.49May 16, 11:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?$5.00Apr 11, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.00Apr 11, 18:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $8.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 18:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.