Trivial-Newsstand
0x85d57ae07c1c0cae93f1ed6d05166eff4233bbf0
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
98
Open notional
$4.0K
Total PnL
$640.03
Realised
$131.92
Win rate
61%
49 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 98- YES
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
1249 shares @ 17.2¢·now 73.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$911.79
$696.67
- NO
Will the Republican Party win the SC-01 House seat?
990 shares @ 24.6¢·now 30.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$297.04
$53.75
- NO
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 Week of July 27 2026?
328 shares @ 40.2¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$267.16
$135.36
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
176 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$168.07
$1.06
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 30?
848 shares @ 33.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$156.93
$-123.33
- NO
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?
154 shares @ 85.9¢·now 87.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$133.99
$1.70
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the ID-01 House seat?
120 shares @ 94.9¢·now 94.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$113.25
$-1.02
- YES
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?
300 shares @ 35.8¢·now 35.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$106.44
$-0.93
- NO
Will Jimmy Gomez win the CA-34 House seat?
163 shares @ 58.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$90.35
$-4.07
- NC DINOS
KBO: NC Dinos vs. LG Twins
185 shares @ 45.0¢·now 47.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$86.79
$3.69
Recent activity
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 30?$3.63Jul 30, 12:35 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 30?$5.00Jul 30, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Liquid vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner$79.80Jul 30, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 33 and 34 million views on day 5?$0.00Jul 30, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $55 Week of July 27 2026?$0.45Jul 30, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 33 and 34 million views on day 5?$0.55Jul 30, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on July 31?$6.86Jul 30, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on July 31?$1.21Jul 30, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on July 31?$6.20Jul 30, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on July 31?$32.24Jul 30, 11:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $725 Week of July 27 2026?$44.02Jul 30, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Liquid vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner$25.50Jul 30, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?$0.15Jul 30, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 2.5$4.54Jul 30, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Liquid vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner$79.80Jul 30, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Liquid vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner$1.75Jul 30, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 2.5$8.19Jul 30, 11:30 UTC
- TRADESELLGames Total: O/U 2.5$71.74Jul 30, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 2.5$7.20Jul 30, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 2.5$68.71Jul 30, 11:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
77/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
61% win rate over 49 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
49 closed markets, 61% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $15.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 30, 08:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 12:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 49 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.