Trivial-Newsstand
0x85d57ae07c1c0cae93f1ed6d05166eff4233bbf0
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
101
Open notional
$4.5K
Total PnL
$1.5K
Realised
$1.8K
Win rate
74%
74 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 101- YES
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
1249 shares @ 17.2¢·now 66.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$824.36
$609.24
- YES
Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent?
1242 shares @ 12.0¢·now 22.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$273.28
$124.22
- NO
Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?
957 shares @ 23.0¢·now 26.6¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$254.48
$34.64
- NO
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
271 shares @ 92.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$250.68
$1.36
- NO
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
252 shares @ 91.7¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$229.04
$-1.92
- NO
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?
255 shares @ 85.9¢·now 81.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$206.59
$-12.49
- NO
Will the Republican Party win the SC-01 House seat?
632 shares @ 24.3¢·now 32.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$205.45
$51.66
- YES
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?
232 shares @ 71.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$181.16
$16.28
- NO
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
1097 shares @ 21.2¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$175.48
$-56.84
- YES
Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?
1249 shares @ 8.7¢·now 13.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$168.66
$59.92
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill The MongolZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$38.81Jun 15, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYHalle Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Frances Tiafoe$129.00Jun 15, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?$10.96Jun 15, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?$1.77Jun 15, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?$17.94Jun 15, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?$0.39Jun 15, 08:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$18.20Jun 15, 07:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Haiti win on 2026-06-19?$3.08Jun 15, 06:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Haiti win on 2026-06-19?$6.88Jun 15, 06:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Haiti win on 2026-06-19?$2.90Jun 15, 06:25 UTC
- TRADESELLFlorentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?$4.64Jun 15, 05:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$40.00Jun 15, 04:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.75T and 2.00T?$0.19Jun 15, 03:10 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$7.42Jun 15, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?$9.00Jun 15, 00:27 UTC
- REWARD$6.19Jun 15, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FUT win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$5.08Jun 14, 23:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?$0.01Jun 14, 23:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?$5.36Jun 14, 23:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$10.80Jun 14, 23:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $30.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 18:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 10:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 74 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.