Even-Caution
0x85dd4df54873303ebfb1aba0e6f99f4ff6246207
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$38.09
Total PnL
$-5.94
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $280 in May?
6 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$6.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Alibaba have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?
5 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Alibaba have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?
5 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?
5 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$5.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
4 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.00
$0.00
- NO
Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
3 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.01
$0.01
- NO
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
2 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will Solana reach $150 in May?
2 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$2.00
$-0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?$5.00May 11, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$4.00May 9, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?$3.00May 9, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $150 in May?$2.00May 9, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$2.00May 8, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$2.00May 8, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?$2.00May 7, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.00May 7, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May?$1.00May 7, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.00May 6, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$3.00May 5, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $280 in May?$3.00May 5, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $280 in May?$3.00May 5, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$5.00May 5, 04:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3,600 in April?$1.50May 5, 04:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Baidu have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?$2.10May 5, 04:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?$2.31May 5, 04:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$2.40May 5, 04:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix (NFLX) close above $60 end of April?$2.51May 5, 04:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$2.62May 5, 04:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $3.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 3, 13:54 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 20:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".