Ill-Informed-Undertaker
0x85e7e44e1b2eda0e6de42ad5c8c25f2c9daf5e49
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$904.47
Total PnL
$-419.92
Realised
$-128.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
272 shares @ 82.5¢·now 82.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$224.02
$-0.06
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
2779 shares @ 12.2¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$173.72
$-164.60
- YES
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?
237 shares @ 71.9¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$171.52
$1.53
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
203 shares @ 83.7¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$161.45
$-8.55
- YES
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?
293 shares @ 42.6¢·now 37.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$108.56
$-16.44
- YES
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
739 shares @ 3.9¢·now 3.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$23.29
$-5.58
- YES
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
86 shares @ 23.1¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.13
$-4.87
- YES
Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026?
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 5.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.00
$0.00
- YES
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the July interest rate announcement?
620 shares @ 14.5¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$8.68
$-81.44
- YES
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?
71 shares @ 14.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.50
$-2.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.04Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYConservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026?$10.38Jun 13, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?$10.31Jun 13, 13:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?$5.20Jun 12, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?$5.20Jun 12, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?$15.45Jun 12, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?$15.00Jun 12, 13:47 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by June 30?$133.78Jun 12, 00:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?$13.87Jun 11, 22:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?$19.74Jun 11, 19:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?$158.01Jun 11, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?$10.26Jun 11, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$25.00Jun 11, 14:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 11, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22?$5.00Jun 10, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?$51.46Jun 10, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?$5.15Jun 10, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?$5.18Jun 10, 14:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $15.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 5, 14:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.