Ill-Informed-Undertaker
0x85e7e44e1b2eda0e6de42ad5c8c25f2c9daf5e49
Quality score
55/100
Open positions
10
Open notional
$1.7K
Total PnL
$-478.32
Realised
$-469.52
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
514 shares @ 67.4¢·now 98.2¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$504.02
$158.02
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
2779 shares @ 12.2¢·now 7.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$207.07
$-131.25
- YES
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?
237 shares @ 71.9¢·now 84.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$198.73
$28.73
- YES
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
332 shares @ 58.7¢·now 58.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$194.40
$-0.60
- YES
Canada recession before 2027?
488 shares @ 39.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$187.71
$-2.29
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
144 shares @ 86.1¢·now 87.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$126.13
$2.05
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
202 shares @ 49.6¢·now 61.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$123.92
$23.92
- NO
Another Canada election called by June 30?
70 shares @ 92.9¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$69.12
$3.85
- YES
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
380 shares @ 19.7¢·now 15.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$58.97
$-16.03
- YES
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
1378 shares @ 7.2¢·now 1.8¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$24.80
$-75.20
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.025h ago
- YIELD$0.031d ago
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$34.211d ago
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$10.001d ago
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$10.001d ago
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$100.001d ago
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$15.002d ago
- TRADESELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$124.052d ago
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$25.002d ago
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$55.002d ago
- YIELD$0.032d ago
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$100.002d ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$15.002d ago
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$20.002d ago
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$25.002d ago
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$65.002d ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$100.002d ago
- TRADEBUYBase FDV above $2B one day after launch?$50.003d ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$70.003d ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$330.323d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $40.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 7d ago
- Last active
- 5h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.