Kaleidoscopic-Bankruptcy
0x86107e9cf04bf10dd15513d3291a861496cea522
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$16.00
Total PnL
$-30.94
Realised
$-0.88
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?
16 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$16.00
$8.00
- YES
Will Ralph Fiennes win Best Actor at the 2025 Oscars?
95 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Isabella Rossellini win Best Supporting Actress at the 2025 Oscars?
57 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 60% and 70% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?
49 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will "A Real Pain" win Best Original Screenplay at the 2025 Oscars?
47 shares @ 19.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will "Conclave" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?
45 shares @ 21.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-9.58
- YES
Will "Conclave" win the most Oscars in the 2025 Academy Awards?
23 shares @ 15.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-3.48
- YES
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be between 33–36%?
11 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Zoe Saldaña win Best Supporting Actress at the 2025 Oscars?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 55% and 60% of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
10 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani get between 45% and 50% of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$2.00Oct 31, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani get between 55% and 60% of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$2.00Oct 31, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be between 33–36%?$3.00Oct 31, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani get between 60% and 70% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?$3.00Oct 31, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?$8.00Oct 31, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Conclave" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?$9.58Mar 2, 21:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Conclave" win the most Oscars in the 2025 Academy Awards?$6.75Mar 2, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ralph Fiennes win Best Actor at the 2025 Oscars?$2.00Mar 2, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zoe Saldaña win Best Supporting Actress at the 2025 Oscars?$1.00Mar 2, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Isabella Rossellini win Best Supporting Actress at the 2025 Oscars?$3.00Mar 2, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "A Real Pain" win Best Original Screenplay at the 2025 Oscars?$9.00Mar 2, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Conclave" win the most Oscars in the 2025 Academy Awards?$11.11Mar 2, 21:20 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. Presidential election decided by ≤100k votes?$0.00Mar 2, 21:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill South Dakota's abortion protection measure pass?$0.00Mar 2, 21:19 UTC
- REDEEMKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$0.00Mar 2, 21:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?$0.00Mar 2, 21:19 UTC
- REDEEM2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, D House$0.00Mar 2, 21:19 UTC
- REDEEMLana Del Rey pregnant in 2024?$0.00Mar 2, 21:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be another tipping point state?$0.00Mar 2, 21:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pennsylvania be the tipping point state?$20.00Mar 2, 21:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $4.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 28, 23:26 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 31, 16:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".