Tepid-Lunch
0x861670052c4087e19c04c61af56036c1f9d45dd4
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$13.30
Total PnL
$-24.66
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
111 shares @ 18.0¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.00
$-13.00
- NO
Trump declares election interference national emergency?
3 shares @ 80.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
13 shares @ 7.8¢·now 14.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.82
$0.82
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$1.76
$0.77
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
4 shares @ 22.3¢·now 16.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.73
$-0.27
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
278 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
2 shares @ 40.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-0.98
Recent activity
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$0.00Mar 7, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$1.00Mar 7, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$1.00Mar 7, 10:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$0.00Mar 1, 04:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$2.01Mar 1, 04:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$0.00Feb 28, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$1.00Feb 28, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$1.00Feb 28, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$1.00Feb 28, 19:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$2.16Feb 28, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$1.00Feb 28, 19:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$0.00Feb 28, 19:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$0.00Feb 28, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$20.00Feb 28, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$20.50Feb 28, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$1.00Feb 28, 18:56 UTC
- REDEEMChelsea FC vs. Páfos FC: Both Teams to Score$0.00Feb 28, 18:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$0.00Feb 28, 18:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$0.00Feb 28, 18:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$0.00Feb 28, 18:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $8.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 13:56 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 7, 10:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".