Empty-Subsection-Wage
0x8618676e88f3a35059a449d2839eebe5e6304386
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$201.78
Total PnL
$2.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
52 shares @ 95.6¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$51.23
$1.23
- YES
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?
52 shares @ 97.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$50.77
$0.72
- NO
Will Karolína Muchová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
51 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$50.15
$0.15
- NO
Will there be exactly 4 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
50 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.63
$-0.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYGustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?$50.05Jun 10, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karolína Muchová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$50.00May 31, 12:24 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine joins NATO before 2027?$5.59May 28, 15:04 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine joins NATO before 2027?$6.41May 28, 15:02 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine joins NATO before 2027?$5.84May 28, 13:36 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine joins NATO before 2027?$8.82May 28, 13:18 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine joins NATO before 2027?$4.98May 28, 10:57 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine joins NATO before 2027?$7.62May 28, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? $50.00May 28, 06:47 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine joins NATO before 2027?$8.62May 27, 15:48 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?$48.30May 27, 13:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$12.52May 27, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 4 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$49.70May 21, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?$47.70May 10, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine joins NATO before 2027?$47.80May 8, 21:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$7.23May 8, 21:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?$49.00May 8, 19:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$6.99May 8, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$22.25May 8, 14:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?$48.85May 8, 14:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $29.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 13:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 23:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.