Quaint-Sail
0x86283633b8d8ee0c0d6db3ce4c7a23f811f56f0b
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
38
Open notional
$44.6K
Total PnL
$-2.1M
Realised
$275.1K
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
156935 shares @ 28.0¢·now 20.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$31.5K
$-12.5K
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
150000 shares @ 8.0¢·now 8.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$12.8K
$825.00
- NO
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
264 shares @ 23.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$230.96
$170.25
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
313 shares @ 32.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$42.23
$-57.87
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
13 shares @ 81.0¢·now 88.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$11.72
$0.97
- SPURS
Spurs vs. Thunder
1619889 shares @ 31.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-510.3K
- CAVALIERS
Cavaliers vs. Knicks
1198557 shares @ 31.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-378.9K
- CANELO
Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford
403000 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-249.9K
- WIZARDS
76ers vs. Wizards
289751 shares @ 36.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-106.4K
- DANIIL MEDVEDEV
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev
242047 shares @ 32.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-77.9K
Recent activity
- YIELD$3.97Jul 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$3.97Jul 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$3.96Jul 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$4.00Jul 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$3.92Jul 24, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$3.87Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$3.85Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$3.84Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- YIELD$3.84Jul 21, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$3.83Jul 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$3.84Jul 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$3.83Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$3.85Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$3.83Jul 15, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$3.80Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$3.77Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$3.81Jul 12, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$3.81Jul 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$3.80Jul 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$3.89Jul 9, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$18.8K
Trades
1
Buy share
100%
Window
May 19, 21:20 UTC → May 19, 21:12 UTC
- BUYCavaliers vs. Knicks$18.8K@32¢May 19, 21:12 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
0 live trades, 1 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Cavaliers vs. Knicks
$18.8K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.