Possible-Skyline
0x862b92808c2ad12b85e6d3ee7964949417b0fbb7
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.7K
Realised
$-322.27
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.71Jun 10, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.1KJun 10, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$13.44Jun 8, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.9KJun 8, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.92Jun 2, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.3KJun 2, 19:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Momentum win the third-most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?$0.34May 31, 16:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AD+PD win the third-most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?$0.06May 31, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$51.10May 31, 16:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Momentum win the third-most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?$51.17May 31, 16:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AD+PD win the third-most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?$0.03May 31, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Momentum win the third-most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?$88.13May 31, 16:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AD+PD win the third-most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?$27.40May 31, 16:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AD+PD win the third-most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?$60.83May 31, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AD+PD win the third-most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?$50.80May 30, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AD+PD win the third-most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?$510.65May 30, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.70Apr 23, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?$10.78Apr 19, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?$21.51Apr 19, 16:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?$21.40Apr 19, 16:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $391.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 15:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 16:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.