0x862d5aa891d9dd4c51d40c07f588ed98339a90ae
0x862d5aa891d9dd4c51d40c07f588ed98339a90ae
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-209.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 15?
30093 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-54.98
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January?
533 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?
104 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?
59 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- 100K
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?
36 shares @ 70.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 13-19?
33 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 21?
20 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-9.62
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
15 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$10.00Apr 20, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 21?$10.00Apr 20, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$10.00Jan 15, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 15?$10.00Jan 15, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 15?$10.00Jan 15, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 15?$10.00Jan 15, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January?$30.00Jan 14, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?$20.00Jan 14, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 15?$25.00Jan 14, 19:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 14?$39.43Jan 14, 18:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla reach $495 in January?$9.86Jan 14, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYOdds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?$25.00Jan 14, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?$25.00Jan 13, 18:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla (TSLA) close at >$460 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 12 – Jan 16?$4.03Jan 13, 17:41 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?$13.46Jan 13, 17:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in January 2026?$1.02Jan 13, 17:40 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?$18.20Jan 13, 17:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 13?$66.59Jan 13, 17:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 14?$38.54Jan 13, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in January 2026?$3.00Jan 13, 03:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $19.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 13, 00:26 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 20, 21:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.