Grandiose-Excursion
0x863f015c5bbcbae219aef0c9fc79836103cf2d1a
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$149.00
Total PnL
$6.72
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?
79 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$78.80
$5.52
- NO
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
26 shares @ 90.7¢·now 97.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$25.71
$1.71
- YES
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
23 shares @ 92.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$22.65
$1.65
- NO
Will Kim Tae-heum win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?
14 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$14.27
$0.27
- SPURS
Spurs vs. Timberwolves
8 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$7.58
$2.58
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
12 shares @ 42.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Timberwolves$5.05May 14, 09:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?$12.94May 14, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?$11.07Apr 30, 13:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$12.01Apr 30, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?$73.28Apr 22, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$24.00Apr 22, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?$21.00Apr 22, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$23.00Apr 22, 08:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?$10.63Apr 22, 08:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?$36.78Apr 22, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Tae-heum win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?$14.00Apr 10, 07:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$25.34Apr 10, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?$21.00Apr 7, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?$32.00Apr 7, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$22.00Apr 7, 02:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?$10.11Apr 7, 02:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?$13.70Apr 7, 02:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026?$22.45Apr 7, 02:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?$22.99Apr 7, 02:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill another country strike Iran by March 31?$24.82Apr 7, 02:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $187.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 17, 00:49 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 09:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.