Smug-Bubble
0x864695a62ce3fbddb55c8186636a62e0279ddf86
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-12.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on November 18?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?
40 shares @ 12.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
37 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$6.05May 30, 17:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?$1.92May 22, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?$5.00May 20, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 14:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$10.01May 16, 18:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Sinners" win exactly 6 awards at the Oscars?$0.00Mar 16, 16:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Sinners" win 3 or fewer awards at the Oscars?$0.00Mar 16, 16:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Sinners" win exactly 4 awards at the Oscars?$3.44Mar 16, 03:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?$0.00Mar 14, 15:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on November 18?$0.00Mar 14, 15:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 18?$0.00Mar 14, 15:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-11-22?$0.00Mar 14, 15:16 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)$0.00Mar 14, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Sinners" win exactly 6 awards at the Oscars?$1.00Mar 14, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Sinners" win exactly 4 awards at the Oscars?$1.00Mar 14, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Sinners" win 3 or fewer awards at the Oscars?$1.00Mar 14, 13:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?$0.65Dec 23, 14:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?$0.72Dec 23, 14:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hyperliquid dip to $20 before 2026?$0.79Dec 23, 14:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $5.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 13, 15:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 17:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".