Well-Worn-Underwriting
0x866cbc103f12bef8449434decddb1f4308954837
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$98.49
Total PnL
$-232.51
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
59 shares @ 76.3¢·now 88.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$51.99
$6.99
- GEN.G
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI
42 shares @ 71.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$30.21
$0.21
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
6 shares @ 84.0¢·now 96.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.74
$0.74
- NO
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?
8 shares @ 59.8¢·now 64.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.40
$0.40
- YES
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 96.5¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.16
$0.16
- T1
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI
288 shares @ 52.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-151.00
- KT ROLSTER
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
25 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
21 shares @ 47.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?
21 shares @ 23.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
21 shares @ 48.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYLoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI$30.26Jun 14, 03:04 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI$3.33Jun 13, 11:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?$5.26Jun 12, 23:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$12.20Jun 12, 22:49 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C$11.11Jun 12, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI$3.01Jun 12, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C$10.03Jun 12, 05:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$4.81Jun 12, 05:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$4.83Jun 12, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$5.07Jun 12, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$5.08Jun 12, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$30.17Jun 12, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI$20.29Jun 12, 03:50 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C$11.49Jun 10, 19:01 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: FENNEL vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - Asia Masters Group B$52.14Jun 10, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI$11.16Jun 10, 08:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?$2.98Jun 10, 01:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$4.39Jun 10, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C$10.04Jun 10, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: FENNEL vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - Asia Masters Group B$50.06Jun 10, 01:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $12.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 29, 05:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 03:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.