Far-Off-Shin
0x867af3ea57b94952b0fcd6dff71726795dde37a8
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$19.96
Total PnL
$-95.19
Realised
$10.44
Win rate
100%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
29 shares @ 28.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$9.57
$1.57
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?
13 shares @ 38.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.46
$0.46
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
15 shares @ 34.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.93
$-0.07
- YES
Will Karianne Lisonbee be the Republican nominee for UT-02?
312 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-12.54
- FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
Florida International vs. UTSA Roadrunners
57 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- FLORIDA GATORS
Connecticut Huskies vs. Florida Gators
38 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-0.50
- ARIZONA STATE
Arizona vs. Arizona State
28 shares @ 27.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-7.83
- SAN JOSE STATE
Fresno State vs. San Jose State
26 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- PATRIOTS
Seahawks vs. Patriots
22 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- GEORGIA TECH
Georgia Tech vs. BYU
21 shares @ 51.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. England: Team to Advance$1.02Jul 6, 02:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$18.20Jul 2, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karianne Lisonbee be the Republican nominee for UT-02?$0.30Jun 24, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karianne Lisonbee be the Republican nominee for UT-02?$5.49Jun 24, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karianne Lisonbee be the Republican nominee for UT-02?$4.64Jun 24, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karianne Lisonbee be the Republican nominee for UT-02?$0.11Jun 24, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karianne Lisonbee be the Republican nominee for UT-02?$1.04Jun 24, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karianne Lisonbee be the Republican nominee for UT-02?$1.04Jun 24, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?$5.13May 20, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?$5.12May 20, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$8.23May 20, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$10.00Mar 5, 23:32 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$9.93Feb 28, 17:25 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?$33.00Feb 22, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?$28.84Feb 18, 20:08 UTC
- TRADESELLSomalians who defrauded government to fund terrorists deported?$28.39Feb 17, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYDrake Maye: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5$3.00Feb 6, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeahawks vs. Patriots$7.00Feb 6, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$8.00Jan 30, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$10.00Jan 29, 06:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $7.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 24, 23:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 6, 02:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.