Vast-Arrangement
0x8683eefa7771d2d86e155a3d8484ca0d57b9a547
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$182.26
Total PnL
$-233.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
1000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$95.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
179 shares @ 27.9¢·now 30.4¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$54.45
$4.45
- NO
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
25 shares @ 41.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$14.97
$4.65
- NO
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
213 shares @ 4.7¢·now 4.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$8.63
$-1.38
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
253 shares @ 3.9¢·now 2.1¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$5.41
$-4.51
- YES
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
53 shares @ 11.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$3.45
$-2.39
- YES
Will Civic Platform (GP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.2¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$0.20
$-0.80
- YES
Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
8 shares @ 1.5¢·now 2.1¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$0.15
$0.04
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
309 shares @ 68.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-210.62
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 1?
150 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$132.91Jun 1, 23:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 31, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 27, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $42.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 20:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.