Popular-Reciprocity
0x868f8b2e2e96485a384b7de731401da65edadc04
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$49.54
Total PnL
$-54.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?
303 shares @ 3.3¢·now 2.9¢·exp May 22, 2026$8.95
$-1.05
- YES
Will Trump say "Hantavirus" this week?
167 shares @ 6.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$6.67
$-3.33
- YES
Will GPT-5.6 be released prior to May 18, 2026?
347 shares @ 1.4¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$5.90
$0.90
- YES
Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?
105 shares @ 9.5¢·now 4.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$4.67
$-5.33
- YES
Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
802 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.21
$1.21
- YES
Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30?
21 shares @ 14.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.11
$0.11
- YES
Will Trump say "Silicon Valley" this week?
21 shares @ 28.5¢·now 14.8¢·exp May 17, 2026$3.10
$-2.90
- YES
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
802 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.81
$0.81
- YES
Will Broadcom be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.75
$0.75
- YES
Will Khamenei post 60+ posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
68 shares @ 7.4¢·now 4.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$2.68
$-2.32
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30?$3.10May 17, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$25.80May 17, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$5.35May 17, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$5.34May 17, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$5.33May 17, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Silicon Valley" this week?$6.17May 17, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hantavirus" this week?$10.38May 17, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$2.07May 17, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$2.08May 17, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$2.06May 17, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$2.08May 17, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$2.08May 17, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$2.08May 17, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Broadcom be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$2.08May 17, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.6 be released prior to May 18, 2026?$5.20May 17, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei post 60+ posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$5.23May 17, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 18?$1.02May 17, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?$10.36May 17, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?$10.39May 17, 15:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $5.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 15:09 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 15:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".