High-Boar
0x86a0613752357e4535a9ac9a599ab54247e22f95
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
35
Open notional
$65.96
Total PnL
$19.63
Realised
$10.05
Win rate
94%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- NO
Will Lionel Messi score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
13 shares @ 36.0¢·now 48.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$6.22
$1.56
- YES
Will Trump say "MAGA" during June 24 Rally?
8 shares @ 31.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$4.50
$1.98
- NO
Will Casemiro score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7 shares @ 54.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.42
$0.54
- YES
Will Alphonso Davies score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 20.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.19
$2.27
- YES
Will Lionel Messi score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7 shares @ 36.7¢·now 52.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$3.82
$1.12
- NO
Will Marcel Sabitzer score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8 shares @ 54.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.81
$-0.26
- YES
Will Darryn Peterson be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?
8 shares @ 47.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$3.59
$0.04
- YES
Will Portugal go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
5 shares @ 57.3¢·now 75.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$3.58
$0.84
- YES
Jay Clayton confirmed as Director of National Intelligence by June 30?
8 shares @ 38.0¢·now 43.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.43
$0.40
- NO
Will Tijjani Reijnders score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8 shares @ 41.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.27
$0.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$2.44Jun 18, 13:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a player representing Brazil be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jun 18, 12:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 23?$0.21Jun 18, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 23?$0.14Jun 18, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 23?$0.10Jun 18, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 23?$0.00Jun 18, 12:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?$0.54Jun 18, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Utah Mammoth be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?$0.29Jun 18, 12:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 23?$0.13Jun 18, 12:39 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. Open: First Time Winner?$4.41Jun 18, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 23?$0.04Jun 18, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Darryn Peterson be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?$3.55Jun 18, 12:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Darryn Peterson be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?$2.42Jun 18, 12:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Darryn Peterson be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?$1.44Jun 18, 12:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New York Islanders be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?$0.25Jun 18, 11:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Utah Mammoth be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?$0.07Jun 18, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a player representing Brazil be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jun 18, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a player representing Brazil be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jun 18, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a player representing Brazil be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jun 18, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a player representing Brazil be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jun 18, 11:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
41/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
94% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 07:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 13:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.