High-Boar
0x86a0613752357e4535a9ac9a599ab54247e22f95
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
77
Open notional
$42.66
Total PnL
$-43.32
Realised
$9.22
Win rate
42%
53 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 77- YES
Will Ilia Topuria fight Arman Tsarukyan next?
23 shares @ 3.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$11.55
$10.86
- NO
RFK Jr. Out by December 31?
16 shares @ 64.5¢·now 68.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.76
$0.55
- NO
Will USD/BRL hit 6.5 (High) in 2026?
8 shares @ 87.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.59
$-3.13
- YES
Hyperliquid listed on Binance in 2026?
32 shares @ 14.3¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.38
$-1.23
- YES
Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award?
4 shares @ 30.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Nov 13, 2026$3.10
$1.90
- NO
Will Russia enter Stinky by July 31?
2 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.32
$0.74
- YES
Will 7+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.04
$0.18
- NO
Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
2 shares @ 95.1¢·now 89.5¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$1.81
$-0.11
- YES
Will the New Jersey Devils be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?
88 shares @ 2.1¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$1.71
$-0.16
- NO
Will voter turnout be between 47% and 50% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
2 shares @ 86.9¢·now 93.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$1.64
$0.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?$0.14Aug 5, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USD/BRL hit 6.5 (High) in 2026?$6.72Aug 5, 18:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?$0.00Aug 4, 19:33 UTC
- TRADESELLHyperliquid listed on Binance in 2026?$0.63Aug 4, 04:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump visit California in 2026?$4.35Jul 31, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid listed on Binance in 2026?$1.15Jul 31, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid listed on Binance in 2026?$1.01Jul 31, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid listed on Binance in 2026?$1.85Jul 31, 01:04 UTC
- TRADESELLTodd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by August 30?$4.58Jul 30, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYTodd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by August 30?$0.01Jul 30, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYTodd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by August 30?$5.12Jul 30, 19:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?$0.26Jul 29, 23:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?$0.00Jul 29, 23:45 UTC
- TRADESELLHyperliquid listed on Binance in 2026?$0.21Jul 29, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?$0.23Jul 29, 17:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?$0.24Jul 29, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?$0.21Jul 29, 06:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?$0.31Jul 28, 19:14 UTC
- TRADESELLTodd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by August 30?$2.57Jul 28, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?$0.28Jul 28, 11:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
56/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
42% win rate over 53 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 29/100.
53 closed markets, 42% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 03:20 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 5, 21:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 53 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.