Late-Stripe
0x86a3ba133b3f33794cb2a436f2f3f8bf521335e9
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$3.67
Total PnL
$-37.33
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
23 shares @ 13.0¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.47
$-1.53
- YES
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.32
$0.32
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
9 shares @ 16.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.89
$-0.61
- UP
XRP Up or Down - December 3, 7PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 22 2025?
446 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
34 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
10 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
9 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS bank failure by March 31?$1.82Feb 2, 09:00 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - January 25, 8AM ET$2.33Jan 26, 09:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Christian Estrosi win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?$0.92Jan 25, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 25, 8AM ET$1.00Jan 25, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - January 25, 8AM ET$1.00Jan 25, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$1.50Jan 22, 14:37 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$1.16Jan 22, 14:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$1.61Jan 22, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$1.50Jan 17, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUY49ers vs. Seahawks$1.00Jan 16, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYTexans vs. Patriots$1.50Jan 16, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on January 16?$1.00Jan 15, 10:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?$2.11Jan 15, 10:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on January 14?$2.22Jan 15, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jan 14, 10:10 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 14, 10:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$0.36Jan 14, 10:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$0.32Jan 14, 10:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?$0.21Jan 14, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on January 14?$1.00Jan 14, 10:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $1.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 11, 10:47 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 2, 09:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.