Famous-Sovereignty
0x86aac2dc1708b2b778d4507f9c5ba1058ad32682
Wallet digest
Activity score
99/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
67
Open notional
$104.01
Total PnL
$-10.46
Realised
$0.50
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 67- NO
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
5 shares @ 79.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.02
$0.02
- YES
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
4 shares @ 90.3¢·now 87.5¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$3.86
$-0.13
- NO
Will Burna Boy perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
5 shares @ 64.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$3.14
$0.14
- NO
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?
3 shares @ 96.3¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$3.05
$0.05
- NO
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?
3 shares @ 93.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$3.05
$0.05
- NO
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?
3 shares @ 87.9¢·now 88.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Solana dip to $50 in June?
3 shares @ 96.0¢·now 96.7¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$3.02
$0.02
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?
3 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$2.98
$-0.02
- NO
Will ground beef hit $10 per pound in 2026?
4 shares @ 79.3¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.59
$-0.41
- YES
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?
2 shares @ 80.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$2.21
$0.22
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Iran close its airspace by June 13?$1.03Jun 14, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$5.20Jun 14, 01:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$10.42Jun 14, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$5.18Jun 14, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?$1.00Jun 13, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.01Jun 13, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Jun 13, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Jun 13, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.00Jun 13, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Jun 13, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$1.00Jun 13, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.00Jun 13, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chappell Roan perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?$1.00Jun 13, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rihanna perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?$1.00Jun 13, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SZA perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?$1.00Jun 13, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?$1.01Jun 13, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Burna Boy perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?$2.04Jun 13, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?$1.02Jun 13, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Burna Boy perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?$1.02Jun 13, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYTaylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?$1.02Jun 13, 18:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 01:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 06:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.