Lively-Claim
0x86b230f579ea72622c8dc8d702a780a0429e2fb8
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$31.16
Total PnL
$-207.66
Realised
$2.06
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?
644 shares @ 5.6¢·now 4.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$25.76
$-10.27
- YES
Will there be at least 1925 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 27.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.40
$0.00
- YES
Will Ethereum hit $6,000.00 by March 31?
1015 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-90.46
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 10PM ET
308 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 9PM ET
217 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
127 shares @ 47.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 February 2-8?
21 shares @ 94.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
4 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
2 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- RAMS
Rams vs. Falcons
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?$8.3413m ago
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?$2.0020m ago
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?$4.4222m ago
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?$1.5826m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?$2.0032m ago
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?$8.9452m ago
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?$2.2052m ago
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?$2.7554m ago
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?$10.601h ago
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?$0.621h ago
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?$2.001h ago
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?$14.261h ago
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?$0.141h ago
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?$6.502h ago
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?$6.002h ago
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?$6.002h ago
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?$6.502h ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1925 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$5.402h ago
- REDEEMOpinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?$21.002h ago
- REDEEMWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$21.002h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $268.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 75d ago
- Last active
- 13m ago
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
