0x86d49066a11b7be6bc3e82c83f49fd447a0b73fc
0x86d49066a11b7be6bc3e82c83f49fd447a0b73fc
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$4.63
Total PnL
$-130.83
Realised
$-67.78
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Trump say "Ethanol" this week? (March 29)
5 shares @ 27.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$4.63
$3.38
- YES
Netanyahu out by March 31?
600 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.20
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 3?
115 shares @ 14.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-17.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Khamenei" or "Ayatollah" during Monday press conference?
62 shares @ 25.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week? (March 29)
34 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 men's singles tournament at the Miami Open?
24 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (March 29)
11 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Ballistic Missile" this week? (March 29)
8 shares @ 35.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" this week? (March 29)
7 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 16?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?$1.25Apr 14, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$4.20Mar 27, 15:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?$0.63Mar 27, 15:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?$1.76Mar 27, 15:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?$2.16Mar 27, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ethanol" this week? (March 29)$1.25Mar 25, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?$3.00Mar 25, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?$1.50Mar 25, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?$2.50Mar 25, 15:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$0.24Mar 25, 15:50 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President by March 31?$0.60Mar 25, 15:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?$6.24Mar 25, 15:50 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by March 31?$1.38Mar 25, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?$7.00Mar 22, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 men's singles tournament at the Miami Open?$10.00Mar 22, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by March 31?$1.00Mar 22, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$2.00Mar 22, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ballistic Missile" this week? (March 29)$3.00Mar 22, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week? (March 29)$10.00Mar 22, 18:09 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by March 31?$33.83Mar 22, 18:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $12.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 5, 16:11 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 14, 18:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.