Actual-Thesis
0x86e519072efd6e791d6c5599a60158de740109da
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$36.89
Total PnL
$-61.54
Realised
$1.17
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?
53 shares @ 48.0¢·now 51.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$27.14
$1.67
- YES
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?
30 shares @ 26.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.75
$1.95
- SUNRISERS HYDERABAD
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabad
2160 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-4.80
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
1262 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- CHENNAI SUPER KINGS
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kings
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DELHI CAPITALS
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kings
250 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- ROYAL CHALLENGERS BANGALORE
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore
130 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-11.50
- MUMBAI INDIANS
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Mumbai Indians
112 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-8.14
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLOpensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?$16.51Jun 15, 09:39 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.13Jun 14, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.03Jun 12, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?$19.20Jun 10, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?$6.27Jun 10, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYMetamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?$7.80Jun 10, 10:58 UTC
- TRADESELLMetamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?$28.00Jun 10, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?$14.40Jun 5, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYMetamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?$10.73Jun 5, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYMetamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?$2.46Jun 5, 02:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$0.98Jun 4, 23:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$1.24Jun 4, 23:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$0.70Jun 4, 23:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$1.68Jun 4, 23:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$1.24Jun 4, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$5.31Jun 4, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$5.33Jun 4, 22:55 UTC
- TRADESELLOpensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?$4.08Jun 4, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?$3.33Jun 4, 04:53 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$16.78Jun 3, 00:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $5.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 21:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 09:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.