Lone-Hydrocarbon
0x86e5568189439d15b9157c2a9555f8f18fcac8eb
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$10.1K
Total PnL
$288.72
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3000 shares @ 96.6¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.9K
$28.50
- NO
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
3091 shares @ 86.7¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.8K
$86.08
- NO
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
2975 shares @ 80.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.4K
$14.88
- NO
MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?
2064 shares @ 91.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.0K
$159.26
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.26Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.26Jun 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.26Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.26Jun 11, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.26Jun 10, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.26Jun 9, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?$680.00Jun 8, 07:38 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x China Military clash before 2027?$685.02Jun 8, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?$720.00Jun 8, 07:29 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x China Military clash before 2027?$720.07Jun 8, 07:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.26Jun 8, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jun 7, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?$980.00Jun 6, 02:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$958.85Jun 6, 02:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.35Jun 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.35Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.35Jun 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.35Jun 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.39Jun 2, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.43Jun 1, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $840.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.