Weird-Youngster
0x86e58d4ad109f34d57029df41bb66a62c4d2370f
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
76
Open notional
$55.80
Total PnL
$-357.15
Realised
$7.04
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 76- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
100 shares @ 20.0¢·now 15.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$15.15
$-4.85
- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
25 shares @ 40.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.13
$1.13
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
36 shares @ 14.0¢·now 25.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.25
$4.25
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$6.11
$-3.89
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
294 shares @ 3.4¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$4.85
$-5.15
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
1250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$4.38
$-5.63
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
385 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$2.89
$-7.11
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
250 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.62
$-18.37
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
167 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.42
$-9.58
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
11000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-14.99
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$5.20Jun 3, 05:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$10.45May 28, 06:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 24, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 23, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 19, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $9.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".