Passionate-Generosity
0x86f25db50d9445d9b937859a2c77941003f88914
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$4.58
Total PnL
$-49.42
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
83 shares @ 12.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.58
$-5.42
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
2500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?
1111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will "Alignment" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
40 shares @ 22.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will "Socialism" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?
28 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
15 shares @ 65.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "Socialism" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?$5.16May 13, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?$10.40May 13, 13:51 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$117.65Apr 19, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Alignment" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$9.00Apr 9, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$10.00Apr 8, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$100.00Apr 8, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$10.00Apr 8, 10:39 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$798.40Apr 5, 14:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during his May 13 interview?$0.00Apr 2, 12:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during his May 13 interview?$0.00Apr 2, 12:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Antoine Massey be captured by Friday?$0.00Apr 2, 12:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Taylor Swift say "Travis" or "Kelce" 3+ times during Tonight Show on October 6?$0.00Apr 2, 12:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Leo Tate be captured by Friday?$0.00Apr 2, 12:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Pope be named Francis?$0.00Apr 2, 12:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple's iPhone 17 Pro cost more than $1000 when it launches?$0.00Apr 2, 12:39 UTC
- REDEEMOver 150,000 bidders in the MegaETH public sale?$0.00Apr 2, 12:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill CZ return to Binance by December 31?$0.00Apr 2, 12:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill JD Vance say "Right Now" during the fundraiser?$0.00Apr 2, 12:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Emmanuel Macron be the first leader out in 2025?$0.00Apr 2, 12:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pietro Parolin be the next pope?$0.00Apr 2, 12:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $134.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 12:39 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 13:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".