Optimal-Difficulty
0x870c882110ff25870a785db3f679b583fd5f5806
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-75.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Trump nominate James B. Bullard as the next Fed chair?
79663 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-149.29
- YES
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
64393 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.3K
- YES
Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?
46846 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-312.23
- NO
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
44887 shares @ 66.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-29.9K
- NO
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
44828 shares @ 57.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-25.9K
- YES
Will Marco Francis win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
26166 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2025$0.00
$-261.66
- NO
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
22608 shares @ 46.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.4K
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
20244 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-652.82
- YES
Will A House of Dynamite win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
14946 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-48.92
- YES
Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick as the next Fed chair?
14197 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-27.74
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$123.92Mar 2, 11:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$68.40Mar 2, 11:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?$158.30Mar 2, 11:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?$475.66Mar 2, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$594.31Feb 23, 16:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$594.30Feb 23, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?$3.1KFeb 23, 14:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$3.1KFeb 23, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$5.0KFeb 22, 10:16 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?$5.0KFeb 22, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$3.1KFeb 18, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?$3.6KFeb 18, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?$624.17Feb 18, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?$103.64Feb 18, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?$64.87Feb 18, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?$20.73Feb 18, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?$125.86Feb 18, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?$0.09Feb 18, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$11.1KFeb 18, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$4.3KFeb 18, 12:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.5K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 3, 17:17 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 2, 11:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.