Insistent-Casement
0x871dd41a54ab050ea5691b94e646d08753e9d87d
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$367.46
Total PnL
$-177.97
Realised
$-2.67
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
284 shares @ 41.7¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$208.91
$90.46
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
355 shares @ 32.4¢·now 28.7¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$101.93
$-12.94
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
291 shares @ 8.6¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$24.27
$-0.73
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
115 shares @ 17.4¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$18.33
$-1.67
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
12 shares @ 82.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$9.94
$-0.06
- NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
13 shares @ 79.6¢·now 32.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.08
$-5.92
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
1804 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-21.10
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
929 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-9.29
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
65 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-18.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
52 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-19.09
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$10.07Jun 1, 13:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 31, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 27, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$10.36May 26, 16:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 24, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$4.50May 23, 21:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 21, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 20, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 19, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $20.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".