Royal-Shovel
0x874629f3df0ceb48de97a7cc4863beee7cd01c86
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-12.30
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $116,000 November 10-16?
900 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.80
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
432 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?
34 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
21 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 27?
4 shares @ 33.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?
3 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 26, 6AM ET
3 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $2.20 on November 27?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by May 31, 2026?$209.68Jun 2, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by May 31, 2026?$208.07Jun 2, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$208.21Jun 1, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$208.01May 31, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$208.08May 30, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$206.10May 30, 03:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$205.82May 29, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$205.04May 28, 09:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$205.21May 25, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$205.01May 25, 08:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$205.21May 19, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$205.01May 19, 08:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$205.21May 18, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$205.01May 17, 02:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$205.14May 16, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$164.97May 16, 05:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$165.16May 14, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$1.05May 13, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$165.01May 13, 08:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$166.07May 10, 00:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $154.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 30, 08:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 07:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".