Aged-Waterspout
0x87830904d5f0f863741daa08f497774063711a15
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$1.07
Total PnL
$-27.52
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.98
$-0.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 80°F or higher on June 13?
190 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.09
$-0.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 90°F or higher on June 10?
400 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 8?
240 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on June 7?
108 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 7?
105 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 100-101°F on June 11?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 12?
98 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on June 8?
50 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
37 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 80°F or higher on June 13?$1.05Jun 12, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 12?$1.05Jun 12, 14:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 11?$0.51Jun 10, 15:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on June 12?$0.67Jun 10, 15:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on June 10?$4.23Jun 10, 15:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$8.56Jun 10, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on June 10?$3.22Jun 10, 15:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 11?$0.23Jun 10, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on June 12?$2.00Jun 10, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on June 10?$3.00Jun 10, 15:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 11?$0.64Jun 10, 15:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 11?$25.11Jun 10, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 11?$4.90Jun 10, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 11?$4.90Jun 10, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 11?$4.90Jun 10, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 11?$0.26Jun 10, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 11?$4.77Jun 10, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 11?$4.77Jun 10, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 11?$3.08Jun 10, 15:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 11?$0.01Jun 10, 15:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $2.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 19:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 15:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.