Trustworthy-Passing
0x879b07e9b284aff2163b21f0b90b2317dd40d073
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$300.00
Total PnL
$-18.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 31?
200 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$200.00
$0.20
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
100 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$100.00
$1.80
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
6000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
30 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$98.29May 31, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$2.10May 31, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$18.00May 31, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 31?$199.81May 31, 06:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$3.19Feb 22, 13:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping before August?$20.30Feb 22, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping before August?$20.00Jul 8, 12:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin June 17-23?$15.79Jul 8, 12:44 UTC
- REDEEMSolana all time high by June 30?$55.17Jul 8, 12:44 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum all time high by June 30?$100.50Jul 8, 12:44 UTC
- REDEEMChina bans US films before July?$224.70Jul 8, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina bans US films before July?$223.32Jun 18, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin June 17-23?$15.00Jun 18, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$3.00Jun 18, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum all time high by June 30?$100.00Jun 18, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana all time high by June 30?$55.00Jun 18, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before Trump inauguration?$14.32Jun 18, 07:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $100k again in 2024?$20.00Jun 18, 07:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill America ban Zyn in 2024?$20.00Jun 18, 07:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before Trump inauguration?$342.00Dec 30, 13:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
15 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $111.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 3, 02:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 06:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.