Relieved-Vote
0x87a49681f9e5437a95860c8f03ea3fc285ce2c4e
Wallet digest
Activity score
41/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$135.64
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-2.74
Win rate
13%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?
21 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$21.15
$0.15
- NO
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
18 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$17.37
$-0.03
- NO
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
17 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$16.77
$0.06
- NO
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
16 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$15.63
$0.01
- NO
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
14 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$14.46
$0.08
- NO
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
14 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$13.65
$0.04
- NO
Will Brighton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
13 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$13.34
$0.04
- NO
Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals?
12 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$12.06
$0.07
- NO
Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?
11 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$11.22
$0.02
- UP
XRP Up or Down - November 24, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
740 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-370.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 8, 00:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 5, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 4, 00:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
13% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.