0x87a69893a9277561156742a6ba03ac157fa60135
0x87a69893a9277561156742a6ba03ac157fa60135
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$64.53
Total PnL
$10.08
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of July 20 2026?
34 shares @ 60.0¢·now 94.1¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$31.57
$11.44
- NO
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?
8 shares @ 60.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$8.07
$3.19
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$5.67
$0.74
- NO
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
6 shares @ 79.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$5.45
$0.41
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
7 shares @ 71.0¢·now 57.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$4.05
$-0.99
- YES
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?
6 shares @ 24.0¢·now 37.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$2.31
$0.81
- NO
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
7 shares @ 28.0¢·now 31.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.09
$0.20
- YES
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?
3 shares @ 54.0¢·now 54.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$1.76
$0.00
- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?
7 shares @ 26.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$1.59
$-0.10
- YES
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $412.50 Week of July 20 2026?
10 shares @ 51.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$1.19
$-3.88
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?$1.80Jul 22, 21:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of July 20 2026?$0.00Jul 22, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of July 20 2026?$1.17Jul 22, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?$5.05Jul 21, 21:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$6.59Jul 21, 18:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$7.00Jul 21, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of July 20 2026?$20.45Jul 21, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $412.50 Week of July 20 2026?$5.17Jul 20, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?$1.50Jul 20, 09:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$0.00Jul 19, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$1.31Jul 19, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$1.69Jul 19, 09:09 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. England: O/U 2.5$0.00Jul 18, 23:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-07-18?$0.00Jul 18, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$5.04Jul 18, 21:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?$0.00Jul 18, 18:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?$9.00Jul 18, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: O/U 2.5$1.03Jul 18, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$1.33Jul 18, 09:09 UTC
- REDEEMIntuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q2 da Vinci procedure growth 15%-17.5%?$7.62Jul 18, 01:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $3.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 10, 21:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 21:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.