Prickly-Line
0x87b54f7d99cbabbfbb91d482885574decb09df63
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$60.26
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$15.33
Win rate
56%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
363 shares @ 18.5¢·now 14.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$52.58
$-14.42
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
34 shares @ 14.8¢·now 14.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.88
$-0.12
- YES
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
84 shares @ 4.8¢·now 2.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.30
$-1.70
- YES
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Trump say "Apple" or "Nvidia" first during Saudi PM events on November 18?
6980 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-6.98
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
3333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Conservative Liberals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
2825 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom be the first leader out in 2025?
2336 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
1917 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD?
1689 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 8, 00:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 6, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 5, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 4, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 3, 00:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
56% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
16 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $2.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.