Complicated-Formicarium
0x87c6d51961fbec496016f20d24f4dca5504a2d7a
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$95.09
Total PnL
$-11.15
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3?
95 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$95.09
$0.10
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on November 26?
1300 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-2.60
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on December 21?
825 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.65
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on December 27?
776 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3,900 on November 18?
750 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 6?
375 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $136,000 October 6-12?
322 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 9?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3?$95.01Jun 2, 12:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?$94.09Jun 2, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?$94.01May 23, 09:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$94.09May 23, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$94.00May 19, 08:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 13?$94.09May 19, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 13?$94.00May 13, 11:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$94.09May 13, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$94.00May 9, 08:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C or higher on May 5?$94.09May 9, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C or higher on May 5?$94.00May 5, 06:34 UTC
- REDEEMBank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$94.09May 5, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$94.00Apr 27, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$94.09Apr 27, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$94.00Apr 23, 13:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on April 20?$94.09Apr 23, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on April 20?$94.00Apr 18, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$94.09Apr 18, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$94.00Apr 16, 06:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 11?$94.09Apr 16, 06:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $89.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 26, 09:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 12:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".