Infantile-Palate
0x87d4304c6ae57615a6371fb61f9fce4f0b1b81ba
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
47
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-483.19
Realised
$-130.98
Win rate
0%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 26-27°F on March 1?
215 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.44
- YES
Will Harka Sampang be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?
204 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.43
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
203 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.22
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 21?
181 shares @ 27.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-49.13
- NO
Will Choosin' Texas by Ella Langley be the Billboard #1 song for the week of March 7?
180 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-3.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C or higher on March 2?
175 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-3.14
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 24, 6PM ET
169 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.54
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 46°F or higher on March 3?
159 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.86
- YES
Will Kirsten Gillibrand be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?
152 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.97
- UP
Solana Up or Down - January 24, 2AM ET
128 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.53
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $70 on July 12?$193.75Jul 12, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $70 on July 12?$190.65Jul 11, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 9?$2.42Jul 9, 00:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on June 3?$189.69Jun 3, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on June 3?$187.22Jun 2, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 2?$3.12Jun 1, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 27?$1.37May 27, 01:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 12?$25.53May 27, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 18?$1.64May 18, 02:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on April 14?$27.94May 18, 02:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $90 on April 26?$117.99May 10, 11:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 27?$28.00Apr 27, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 27?$26.88Apr 27, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on April 26?$0.16Apr 25, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on April 26?$115.12Apr 25, 18:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 29?$150.38Apr 25, 18:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on January 26?$0.00Apr 18, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on April 14?$25.34Apr 14, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 12?$2.73Apr 11, 21:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be less than $2,900 on January 22?$0.00Apr 11, 21:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $40.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 00:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 16:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.