Sweaty-Dimple
0x87dd52e978fa96a2ca8cb981c3a17cd95449a18e
Wallet digest
Activity score
32/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
62
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-308.71
Realised
$-69.25
Win rate
4%
24 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 62- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
298 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-13.99
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)?
287 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.02
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
210 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will "Louis Theroux: Inside The Manosphere" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
95 shares @ 26.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-25.01
- UNDER
El Mokawloon El Arab SC vs. Modern SC: O/U 2.5
63 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?
53 shares @ 28.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-15.01
- YES
Will FC Metz win on 2026-04-26?
52 shares @ 19.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-9.92
- NO
Will Fukushima United FC vs. Reilac Shiga end in a draw?
34 shares @ 14.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
34 shares @ 29.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-03-15?
22 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Burna Boy perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?$0.96Jun 13, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Burna Boy perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?$2.06Jun 12, 19:52 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner$9.44Jun 12, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner$2.01Jun 12, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner$2.01Jun 12, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner$2.01Jun 12, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner$2.01Jun 12, 10:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$0.95Jun 11, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.01Jun 10, 11:55 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$0.61Jun 8, 04:07 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$0.12Jun 8, 04:06 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$0.07Jun 8, 04:06 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$0.07Jun 8, 04:06 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$0.40Jun 8, 04:05 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$0.77Jun 8, 04:02 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$0.30Jun 8, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$1.01Jun 8, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jun 8, 03:47 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$1.10Jun 8, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jun 8, 03:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
51/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
4% win rate over 24 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
24 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 30, 06:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 01:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 24 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.